5. Detection

When is “anomaly” declared? — limits vs learned binary score

Onset — p(anomaly) after inject

onset

Speed — median / mean

speed

Noise — pooled F1 (4×3×10)

noise F1

Compare

Threshold limits vs LSTM-binary (60 s × 68) · open loop · inject 80 s · ready ≥ 60 s

med 7 s → 3 s 30/31 → 31/31 TPR 0.88 → 0.96 pre FPR 0 noise F1 0.92–0.99

High AR1/mixed: precision drops via FA — detection rate stays 31/31

Discuss

Faster onset vs noise false alarms — who gates diagnosis?

Limits are interpretable; LSTM is faster and covers the soft miss.

Noise mainly hurts precision (FA), not detection rate.

▸ timelines · classifier · full noise grid